Sweden vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
SWE
2 - 2
ISL
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SWE
0 - 1
FIN
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 0
RUS
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 1
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVK
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MNE
0 - 1
ROU
18%
23%
58%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
78%
16%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ROU
0 - 0
SRB
59%
24%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LTU
1 - 2
ROU
13%
23%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
SRB
2 - 2
ROU
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |