Sweden vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 10
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1954 |
SWE
3 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 1
NED
84%
9%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
HUN
2 - 2
SWE
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
ISL
1 - 0
NOR
50%
20%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
61%
17%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1953 |
DEN
4 - 0
ISL
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1951 |
NOR
3 - 1
ISL
55%
18%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1951 |
ISL
4 - 3
SWE
34%
22%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |