Sweden vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.4%
6.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
HUN
2 - 2
SWE
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 2
SWE
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
45%
21%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1953 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 0
NED
69%
16%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
51%
20%
29%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
NED
1 - 2
SUI
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |