Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 2
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
DNK
1 - 0
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 1
SWE
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ISL
0 - 2
SWE
15%
23%
62%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 2
SWE
9%
20%
71%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
TJK
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ISL
1 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
FIN
2 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
LVA
0 - 0
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
GIB
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |