Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
LVA
1 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1928 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1928 |
EST
0 - 1
LVA
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1928 |
EST
6 - 0
LTU
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1928 |
EST
0 - 1
SWE
31%
22%
46%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |