Sweden vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SRB
4 - 1
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
0 - 1
SRB
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
DZA
2 - 0
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DZA
2 - 1
NGA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 0
GIN
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 2
DZA
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |