WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda. Final
Global 1-2
South Sudan vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BDI
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BDI
2 - 0
SSD
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MLI
3 - 0
SSD
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SSD
2 - 5
BDI
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 1
GAB
7%
12%
81%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
GNQ
2 - 1
TCD
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TCD
3 - 3
GNQ
24%
21%
55%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
SAU
3 - 2
GNQ
77%
17%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 4
GNQ
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GNQ
0 - 1
SEN
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |