South Africa vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
3 - 0
MOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
0 - 0
ZMB
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
4 - 0
LSO
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
SWZ
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
BWA
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 2
SWZ
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
MWI
79%
16%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
ZWE
70%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 0
MOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
1 - 2
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |