South Africa vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
RSA
3 - 0
BOT
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 4
RSA
20%
24%
55%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
MAD
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
LBY
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
LBY
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |