South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 2
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 2
RSA
6%
17%
77%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ZAM
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 1
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 2
CTA
75%
18%
7%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | 0 |