Sri Lanka vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MNG
2 - 0
LKA
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 2
LAO
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
KHM
4 - 0
LKA
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
NPL
1 - 0
LKA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BGD
4 - 2
LKA
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAO
1 - 4
MAC
59%
18%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
MNG
38%
21%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MNP
1 - 3
MAC
4%
11%
85%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
1 - 3
MAC
8%
14%
78%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |