Sri Lanka vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TWN
2 - 2
LKA
40%
24%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
1 - 7
LKA
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
GUM
1 - 5
LKA
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
5 - 0
LKA
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LKA
0 - 1
QAT
11%
21%
68%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
KGZ
0 - 1
AFG
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2008 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
AFG
1 - 2
SYR
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
SYR
3 - 0
AFG
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
PHL
1 - 1
AFG
31%
22%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |