UEFA Nations League Liga B. Jor. 3

Serbia vs Hungary analysis

Serbia Hungary
84 ELO 83
6.7% Tilt -13.5%
121º General ELO ranking 132º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.7%
Serbia
21.3%
Draw
19.9%
Hungary

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Serbia
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20%
Win probability
Hungary
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serbia
+7%
+22%
Hungary

ELO progression

Serbia
Hungary
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2020
NOR
Norway
1 - 2
Serbia
SRB
48%
26%
26%
84 84 0 0
06 Sep. 2020
SRB
Serbia
0 - 0
Turkey
TUR
45%
25%
31%
85 87 2 -1
03 Sep. 2020
RUS
Russia
3 - 1
Serbia
SRB
65%
21%
14%
85 88 3 0
17 Nov. 2019
SRB
Serbia
2 - 2
Ukraine
UKR
40%
26%
34%
85 89 4 0
14 Nov. 2019
SRB
Serbia
3 - 2
Luxembourg
LUX
87%
10%
3%
85 52 33 0

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2020
BGR
Bulgaria
1 - 3
Hungary
HUN
43%
25%
32%
82 81 1 0
06 Sep. 2020
HUN
Hungary
2 - 3
Russia
RUS
26%
25%
49%
82 88 6 0
03 Sep. 2020
TUR
Turkey
0 - 1
Hungary
HUN
61%
22%
17%
82 87 5 0
19 Nov. 2019
WLS
Wales
2 - 0
Hungary
HUN
46%
26%
28%
83 85 2 -1
15 Nov. 2019
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Uruguay
URY
20%
24%
56%
83 91 8 0
X