EC Qualifying Round 3

Serbia vs Estonia analysis

Serbia Estonia
86 ELO 73
-11% Tilt -5.2%
139º General ELO ranking 2697º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
68.4%
Serbia
20%
Draw
11.6%
Estonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
Serbia
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.6%
Win probability
Estonia
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Serbia
-1%
-22%
Estonia

ELO progression

Serbia
Estonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2010
SRB
Serbia
1 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
53%
27%
21%
86 85 1 0
03 Sep. 2010
FRO
Faroe Islands
0 - 3
Serbia
SRB
14%
23%
63%
86 54 32 0
11 Aug. 2010
SRB
Serbia
0 - 1
Greece
GRC
39%
28%
32%
86 89 3 0
23 Jun. 2010
AUS
Australia
2 - 1
Serbia
SRB
53%
25%
23%
87 89 2 -1
18 Jun. 2010
GER
Germany
0 - 1
Serbia
SRB
89%
8%
3%
86 96 10 +1

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2010
EST
Estonia
3 - 3
Uzbekistan
UZB
29%
25%
45%
71 77 6 0
03 Sep. 2010
EST
Estonia
1 - 2
Italy
ITA
12%
25%
63%
71 95 24 0
11 Aug. 2010
EST
Estonia
2 - 1
Faroe Islands
FRO
59%
23%
18%
71 55 16 0
20 Jun. 2010
LTU
Lithuania
2 - 0
Estonia
EST
57%
23%
20%
72 79 7 -1
19 Jun. 2010
EST
Estonia
0 - 0
Latvia
LVA
36%
28%
36%
72 76 4 0