San Marino vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
13.6%
83.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
20.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.9%
0-3
15.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
CYP
4 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 1
CYP
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
1 - 4
AUT
1%
9%
89%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SMR
0 - 5
ISR
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
SMR
0 - 5
TUR
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 2
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
ISR
1 - 2
ESP
16%
24%
59%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
86%
10%
4%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
CYP
3 - 2
ESP
10%
22%
68%
|
96 | 67 | 29 | 0 |