San Marino vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 8
GER
4%
11%
85%
|
29 | 94 | 65 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
SMR
83%
14%
3%
|
29 | 85 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
SMR
83%
14%
4%
|
30 | 81 | 51 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 1
AZE
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CRO
10 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 91 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
HUN
4 - 0
AND
88%
10%
2%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
AND
1 - 2
SUI
9%
21%
70%
|
37 | 89 | 52 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
POR
6 - 0
AND
89%
9%
2%
|
37 | 91 | 54 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
AND
0 - 1
LVA
10%
19%
71%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
AND
76%
18%
6%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |