Russia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
RUS
1 - 1
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
HUN
0 - 3
RUS
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
RUS
3 - 3
BEL
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 2
CIV
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
RUS
1 - 0
ROU
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 0
NZL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NZL
2 - 0
FJI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FJI
0 - 2
NZL
19%
22%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NCL
0 - 0
NZL
14%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |