Romania vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ROU
4 - 0
TKM
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
ROU
12%
22%
66%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
1 - 3
ROU
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
ROU
46%
26%
29%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
ROU
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
URU
53%
25%
22%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
URU
4 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 3
URU
34%
26%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |