Romania vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
ROU
2 - 2
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
GRC
1 - 1
ROU
38%
25%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1975 |
DEN
1 - 2
ROU
20%
24%
57%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
ROU
4 - 0
DEN
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUN
29%
30%
41%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
SUN
4 - 1
SUI
76%
17%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SUI
0 - 1
SUN
33%
29%
38%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SUN
4 - 0
NOR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
SUN
1 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |