Rwanda vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NGA
2 - 0
RWA
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 1
RWA
79%
16%
6%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
2 - 0
LBY
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LBY
0 - 1
ALG
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
CMR
22%
27%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBY
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LBY
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |