Rwanda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 0
ZAM
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
3 - 1
RWA
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 1
EGY
19%
28%
53%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 2
TAN
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 2
ERI
81%
14%
6%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
ERI
3 - 1
SLE
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 0
ERI
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
2 - 1
ERI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |