Rwanda vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
RWA
0 - 1
ANG
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ZIM
3 - 1
RWA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
GAB
3 - 0
RWA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
RWA
1 - 1
NGA
11%
23%
67%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
RWA
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ERI
2 - 3
KEN
6%
15%
79%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
ERI
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ERI
0 - 0
SDN
8%
18%
74%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
86%
10%
3%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
ZIM
2 - 0
ERI
88%
10%
2%
|
21 | 76 | 55 | 0 |