Ireland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
44.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 1
IRL
44%
21%
35%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
ENG
0 - 2
IRL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1949 |
IRL
3 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
DNK
3 - 2
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
2 - 2
HUN
69%
15%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |