South Korea vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KOR
3 - 2
QAT
64%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SYR
0 - 0
KOR
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
KOR
3 - 2
CHN
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CZE
1 - 2
KOR
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAN
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HND
2 - 1
CAN
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
UZB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |