RD Germany vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 0
DDR
55%
24%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
ROU
1 - 1
DDR
42%
26%
32%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
MLT
0 - 1
DDR
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
DDR
1 - 1
TUR
76%
17%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
DDR
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
HUN
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
HUN
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
15%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRC
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
YUG
2 - 4
SUN
52%
26%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |