Qatar vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
BHR
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
4 - 0
IDN
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
OMA
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IDN
2 - 3
QAT
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
QAT
1 - 1
IRN
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BHR
0 - 2
SWE
15%
24%
61%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 2
NED
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
26%
26%
48%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |