Qatar vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
QAT
1 - 0
KWT
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
EGY
5 - 0
QAT
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 1
QAT
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 0
KWT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
2 - 1
OMA
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CYP
2 - 1
IRQ
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BHR
2 - 2
IRQ
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
JOR
0 - 1
IRQ
34%
26%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 1
IRQ
56%
24%
19%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 1
NPL
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |