Arabian Gulf Cup Fase de Grupos round 1

Catar vs UAE analysis

Catar UAE
83 ELO 80
6.6% Tilt -0.2%
423º General ELO ranking 660º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60.6%
Catar
21%
Draw
18.5%
UAE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
Qatar
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.5%
Win probability
UAE
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catar
-1%
+2%
UAE

ELO progression

Qatar
UAE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qatar
Qatar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2024
UAE
UAE
5 - 0
Qatar
QAT
35%
26%
39%
83 79 4 0
14 Nov. 2024
QAT
Qatar
3 - 2
Uzbekistan
UZB
51%
24%
25%
83 82 1 0
15 Oct. 2024
IRN
Iran
4 - 1
Qatar
QAT
68%
19%
13%
83 90 7 0
10 Oct. 2024
QAT
Qatar
3 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
81%
14%
5%
83 58 25 0
10 Sep. 2024
PRK
North Korea
2 - 2
Qatar
QAT
19%
24%
57%
83 69 14 0

Matches

UAE
UAE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2024
UAE
UAE
5 - 0
Qatar
QAT
35%
26%
39%
79 83 4 0
14 Nov. 2024
UAE
UAE
3 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
77%
16%
8%
79 58 21 0
15 Oct. 2024
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
UAE
UAE
54%
24%
22%
79 82 3 0
10 Oct. 2024
UAE
UAE
1 - 1
North Korea
PRK
62%
22%
17%
79 69 10 0
10 Sep. 2024
UAE
UAE
0 - 1
Iran
IRN
23%
25%
52%
79 90 11 0