Qatar vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
4 - 0
IDN
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
QAT
0 - 0
OMA
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IDN
2 - 3
QAT
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
QAT
1 - 1
IRN
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 0
QAT
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BHR
1 - 1
IRN
22%
26%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
BHR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
IRN
6 - 0
BHR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
IDN
0 - 2
BHR
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BHR
0 - 0
QAT
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |