Portugal vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
0 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SWE
0 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
POR
4 - 1
CRO
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUX
0 - 2
POR
7%
17%
76%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 1
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RUS
1 - 2
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SWE
0 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SWE
0 - 1
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SWE
1 - 0
XXK
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | -1 |