Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1932 |
POR
3 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
POR
3 - 2
BEL
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
ESP
13 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
YUG
1 - 1
ESP
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1933 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |