Poland vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
ENG
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MNE
2 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
POL
12%
21%
66%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 1
URU
18%
23%
60%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
60%
22%
18%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
COL
4 - 0
URU
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 0
URU
51%
25%
24%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |