Poland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
LVA
0 - 2
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 46 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
GRC
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
0 - 6
SWE
8%
20%
71%
|
94 | 47 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |