Poland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
POL
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1925 |
EST
0 - 0
POL
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1925 |
FIN
2 - 2
POL
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1925 |
POL
0 - 2
HUN
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
HUN
4 - 0
POL
74%
14%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
NOR
3 - 7
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1925 |
SWE
6 - 2
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1925 |
SWE
2 - 4
AUT
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |