Poland vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
IRL
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
POL
8 - 1
GIB
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
GRC
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 0
ISL
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ISL
2 - 2
LVA
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ISL
0 - 0
KAZ
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
NED
0 - 1
ISL
86%
11%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
ISL
2 - 1
CZE
20%
25%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |