Poland vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
4.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
LVA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
CZE
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 2
POL
7%
16%
77%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
POL
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AUT
11%
20%
69%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
THA
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AZE
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |