Poland vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
48%
27%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
FRA
0 - 0
POL
58%
25%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 1
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1990 |
ARE
0 - 4
POL
16%
23%
62%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
SCT
1 - 1
POL
46%
28%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
USA
3 - 1
TTO
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
USA
1 - 2
DDR
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
AUT
2 - 1
USA
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1990 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1990 |
USA
1 - 5
CSK
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |