Peru vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PRY
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
PER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
URY
3 - 1
PRY
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
URY
3 - 2
CHL
73%
15%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URY
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1938 |
URY
2 - 3
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1938 |
ARG
1 - 0
URY
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |