Peru vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
CRC
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
PER
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
URU
0 - 3
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
MEX
40%
27%
33%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
COL
1 - 0
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |