Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1930 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
YUG
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 31 | 54 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
2 - 4
URU
50%
23%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
6 - 1
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |