New Zealand vs French Polynesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
French Polynesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 0
TAH
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 1
TAH
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAH
2 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TAH
3 - 0
COK
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
26%
23%
52%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |