New Zealand vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1988 |
FIJ
1 - 1
NZL
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
NZL
1 - 2
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1988 |
NZL
3 - 2
KSA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1990 |
CHN
5 - 6
KOR
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
CHN
61%
25%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1990 |
CHN
1 - 0
JPN
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1990 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |