Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
84%
13%
4%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SUI
1 - 0
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1978 |
DEN
3 - 3
IRL
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
2 - 0
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
DEN
2 - 4
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
POL
4 - 1
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |