Nigeria vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
NGA
3 - 2
CMR
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MDG
2 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
GIN
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
BDI
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
NGA
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
EGY
0 - 1
ZAF
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ZAF
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
ZAF
1 - 0
NAM
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
ZAF
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
GHA
0 - 0
ZAF
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |