Nigeria vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
DZA
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
GHA
1 - 0
NGA
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
ZMB
0 - 0
NGA
19%
25%
57%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
3 - 0
MOZ
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NGA
1 - 0
BEN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
COD
2 - 2
QAT
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
COD
1 - 2
SEN
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
NAM
4 - 0
COD
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BHR
3 - 1
COD
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TZA
0 - 2
COD
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |