Nigeria vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
12%
23%
65%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 2
NGA
6%
17%
78%
|
84 | 35 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
NGA
0 - 1
CAF
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 2
NGA
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
NGA
2 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CPV
2 - 1
CAF
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 0
LBR
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
LBR
1 - 2
CPV
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 2
NGA
22%
27%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CAF
1 - 1
CPV
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | -1 |