Nepal vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
2 - 0
LAO
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NPL
3 - 1
BGD
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
7 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 4
KWT
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
LAO
44%
21%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
BGD
2 - 0
BTN
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUM
5 - 0
BTN
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
BTN
1 - 0
GUM
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MDV
7 - 0
BTN
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |