Mozambique vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZAM
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
GNB
1 - 2
MOZ
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 1
MLI
16%
24%
60%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 3
MOZ
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BDI
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 1
UGA
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 1
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 2
RSA
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
1 - 2
UGA
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |