Mozambique vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MOZ
1 - 2
NAM
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GNB
2 - 2
MOZ
23%
21%
56%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
24%
60%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 0
MOZ
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2019 |
NAM
1 - 2
MWI
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MWI
3 - 0
SYC
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MWI
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
MWI
0 - 0
MAR
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |