WC Qual. Europe Round 1

Moldova vs Latvia analysis

Moldova Latvia
75 ELO 78
-7.2% Tilt -14.4%
4086º General ELO ranking 3775º
11º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Moldova
26.7%
Draw
30.6%
Latvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Moldova
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
Latvia
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Moldova
+12%
-18%
Latvia

ELO progression

Moldova
Latvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moldova
Moldova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2008
LTU
Lithuania
3 - 0
Moldova
MDA
52%
25%
22%
76 77 1 0
28 May. 2008
MDA
Moldova
2 - 2
Armenia
ARM
53%
25%
22%
75 73 2 +1
24 May. 2008
CRO
Croatia
1 - 0
Moldova
MDA
79%
15%
6%
76 93 17 -1
06 Feb. 2008
MDA
Moldova
1 - 0
Kazakhstan
KAZ
58%
23%
19%
74 68 6 +2
17 Nov. 2007
MDA
Moldova
3 - 0
Hungary
HUN
21%
23%
56%
73 86 13 +1

Matches

Latvia
Latvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2008
ROU
Romania
1 - 0
Latvia
LVA
81%
14%
5%
77 94 17 0
01 Jun. 2008
LVA
Latvia
2 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
46%
26%
28%
77 78 1 0
30 May. 2008
LVA
Latvia
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
59%
23%
19%
76 70 6 +1
26 Mar. 2008
AND
Andorra
0 - 3
Latvia
LVA
19%
23%
58%
76 52 24 0
06 Feb. 2008
GEO
Georgia
1 - 3
Latvia
LVA
58%
23%
20%
74 78 4 +2